Italy welcomes Israel to the Stadio Friuli this Tuesday at 14:45, with both teams eager to secure three crucial points in their World Cup qualifying campaign. Instead of spending your afternoon lining up domino tiles, why not place a bet on both teams to score? The odds for BTTS Yes are enticing at +104, making it one of the best angles we’ve identified for this match. After all, who wouldn’t prefer a thrilling game to yet another recounting of my mum’s pasta sauce saga?
Italy’s Strong Form
Gennaro Gattuso’s Azzurri are in great shape, currently sitting second in Group I after a convincing 3-1 victory over Estonia at the A. Le Coq Arena. In that match, Italy displayed impressive offensive prowess, recording nine shots on target and controlling 64 percent of possession. Notable goals came from Moise Kean, Mateo Retegui, and rising star Francesco Pio Esposito, reinforcing their status as a formidable side.
Israel’s Recent Struggles
On the other hand, Israel faced a challenging outing against Norway, suffering a substantial 5-0 loss at Ullevaal. The visitors only managed one shot on target and held 46 percent possession — hardly the kind of performance to inspire confidence. However, adversity can often create thrilling matchups, and this game promises to deliver excitement for fans.
Historic Matchup
The last encounter between these two teams took place in Debrecen, where Italy narrowly triumphed in a thrilling nine-goal spectacle, winning 5-4. Historically, Italy has been dominant, winning their last three meetings. In terms of recent form, Italy boasts six wins, one draw, and three losses in their last ten competitive outings, with an average of 2.5 goals per match and nearly six shots on target. Meanwhile, Israel’s record for the same period shows four wins, one draw, and five losses, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded.
BTTS Yes Data Insights
Diving into the BTTS Yes statistics, Italy has seen both teams score in 14 of their last 20 home qualifiers, including two consecutive matches and seven in their last ten. Israel has experienced both teams scoring in 13 of their past 20 matches, including six of their last ten. While the market suggests a 49 percent chance of success for BTTS Yes, our analysis estimates it closer to 55 to 60 percent, presenting a genuine opportunity for value.
Tactical Outlook
Tactically, we expect Italy to deploy a 4-4-2 formation, with Gianluigi Donnarumma in goal. The back four will likely consist of Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Gianluca Mancini, Riccardo Calafiori, and Federico Dimarco. In midfield, Nicolo Barella and Sandro Tonali will serve as the central pivot, while Riccardo Orsolini and Leonardo Spinazzola provide width for the strike duo of Mateo Retegui and Francesco Pio Esposito.
Israel is expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, featuring Daniel Peretz as the goalkeeper. The back line should include Eliazer Dasa and Matan Baltaxa on the flanks, with Anan Khalaili and Mohammad Abu Fani anchoring midfield. Oscar Gloukh and Manor Solomon will offer creativity for lone forward Tai Baribo.
Conclusion
Both teams have enough firepower to unsettle each other’s defense, and history suggests they are unlikely to keep clean sheets. Bet on BTTS Yes at +104 with confidence. Manage your stake wisely and enjoy the thrilling rollercoaster of the match. After all, with nine goals in their last meeting, the only red card you might need is for your betting slip if you don’t place a wager.