Hello, football fans! It’s James Richardson here, diving into Tuesday’s Brazilian Série A showdown between Grêmio and Fortaleza. With a home team at +115 odds against a side that has stumbled in its last two away games, there’s a buzz in the air. Let’s delve into the details.
Match Outcome
Backing Grêmio at +115 looks promising. Despite their recent 1-0 setback against Palmeiras, they’re back on home turf, where they’ve previously defeated Fortaleza 3-1. Fortaleza, meanwhile, has struggled on the road, losing three of their last five away matches, including the most recent two. While they did secure a 3-1 home victory over Red Bull Bragantino recently, carrying that form to away games has been their Achilles’ heel this season.
Goals Analysis – BTTS & Over/Under
For a closer look at the goals market, “Both Teams To Score – No” at -125 seems like a solid pick. Grêmio hasn’t been prolific, netting only 14 goals across 15 league matches, but their defense is tightening up. Statistics also suggest a lower-scoring game might be on the horizon. With Grêmio averaging just 1.0 goal in their last 10 league games and often struggling with shot conversion (4.4 shots on target from 8.5 attempts), considering Under 2.5 goals as a sensible option is worthwhile.
Player to Watch
Keep an eye on Martin Braithwaite, Grêmio’s leading scorer with 3 goals. Priced at +180 for an anytime goal, he offers good value. Fortaleza’s defense, having conceded 21 goals in 15 matches, presents a ripe opportunity for Braithwaite.
Correct Score Prediction
I’m predicting a 1-0 victory for Grêmio at +550 odds. While it might not be a high-scoring affair, Grêmio’s quality should be enough to secure a win in front of the home crowd.
Bet Builder Option
Consider this Bet Builder for those who enjoy combining bets:
- Grêmio to win (+115)
- Both Teams To Score – No (-125)
- Martin Braithwaite anytime scorer (+180)
Final Thoughts
Both Grêmio and Fortaleza sit in the bottom half of the table, with Grêmio at 14th and Fortaleza trailing in 18th. However, Grêmio’s home ground advantage could play a decisive role. Betting should be straightforward like a simple pass, rather than a fancy Brazilian stepover. For this matchup, a home win at +115 seems like the percentage play.