Hello fellow football enthusiasts! James Richardson here, ready to guide you through Monday’s Danish Superliga clash between FC Midtjylland and SonderjyskE. The bookmakers have made this match look as one-sided as my first attempt at a proper Sunday roast – burnt on the outside, frozen in the middle, and even the dog wouldn’t touch it.
Match Overview
FC Midtjylland comes into this game after a thrilling 3-3 home draw against Odense Boldklub, with Franculino scoring twice and Adam Buksa adding another goal. Following that, they drew 1-1 at home against Hibernian in the Europa League qualifying.
SonderjyskE, on the other hand, recently secured a 1-1 draw against AGF Aarhus, with Olti Hyseni finding the net. They recorded three shots on goal while maintaining 44% possession.
Where the Value Lies
Bookmakers have made FC Midtjylland heavy favorites at -182, implying a 65% chance of victory. SonderjyskE is the underdog at +375, with the draw also priced at +375.
Here’s where my experience suggests there’s value: SonderjyskE with a +1.25 goal start on the Asian Handicap at -111. Remember, SonderjyskE won their last head-to-head 3-2. While Midtjylland has six wins in their last nine encounters, SonderjyskE boasts three victories themselves.
Both Teams to Score?
Yes, I’m confident both teams will find the net at -175. Recent draws for Midtjylland, such as their 3-3 and 1-1 results, reveal vulnerabilities at the back. Meanwhile, SonderjyskE has shown they can breach Midtjylland’s defense in past meetings.
Goal Expectations
I’m not predicting a goalfest, but I do expect a competitive match. The correct score that resonates with me is a 1-1 draw at +700, fitting our Asian Handicap selection perfectly.
Player to Watch
For those considering a goalscorer bet, keep an eye on Mads Agger of SonderjyskE at +370. He has scored twice in his last four Superliga matches and offers genuine value in the anytime scorer market.
Corner Count
Another angle worth exploring is Midtjylland Under 6.5 corners at -111. They’ve fallen short of this mark in five consecutive matches, while SonderjyskE has conceded an average of just 4.40 corners in their last 10 away fixtures.
The Final Word
So there you have it, folks. While Midtjylland is expected to dominate, there’s real potential for SonderjyskE to keep it close or even grab something. My main selection is SonderjyskE +1.25 on the Asian Handicap at -111, with Both Teams to Score at -175 as a solid supporting bet.
Remember, successful betting isn’t about blindly backing favorites – it’s about finding value where the bookmakers may have gotten it wrong. This match reminds me of that glorious bet on Leicester beating Man City back in 2016. My friends laughed, but my wallet had the last chuckle.
Best of luck with your bets!