It’s not every week that the league leaders face the bottom team, but this week, Thun travels to Schützenwiese to take on Winterthur, who are struggling at the foot of the Super League table. While this match looks straightforward for Thun on paper, the frosty December pitch may lead to some unexpected slips and slides, giving players a valid excuse for any misplaced passes.
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Winterthur’s Performance
Winterthur comes into this match following a 2-2 draw against Zurich at Letzigrund. Under the management of Patrick Rahmen, Winterthur had 42 percent possession and recorded six shots on target in that game. Both Souleymane Diaby and Roman Buess scored for the team. While it was a respectable performance away from home, earning just one point does little to inspire confidence for the upcoming match.
Thun’s Recent Results
Conversely, Thun recently faced a setback, suffering a 2-0 loss at home to St. Gallen. Despite controlling 56 percent possession, Thun only managed one shot on goal. However, the Oberlanders have shown resilience on the road, achieving six wins in their past eight away matches and securing seven victories from their last ten games overall. Additionally, their recent 3-0 win over Winterthur at Arena Thun highlights their historical advantage in this matchup.
Match Prediction
Thun is expected to bounce back from their defeat against St. Gallen and return to form. The odds for an away win stand at -127, suggesting a 56 percent chance. However, considering recent form, head-to-head history, and the fact that Winterthur has lost six of their last ten matches and twelve of their last twenty outings, Thun’s true probability of winning is closer to 60-65 percent.
For those looking for a better price, the Asian Handicap market offers Thun at -0.75, which serves as a smart option if you want to hedge your bets.
Correct Score Prediction
For those seeking higher payouts, a 3-1 victory for Thun is currently priced around +800. Although ambitious, this prediction is supported by Thun’s attacking strength and Winterthur’s recent defensive struggles. Just be prepared for the possibility that the goalposts may take a beating by the end of the match.
Corners Market Insight
Another angle to consider is Thun’s corner kicks. They have averaged 7.6 corners per match over the last five games, while Winterthur has conceded an average of 8.8 corners during the same period. Betting on Thun to achieve over 5.5 corners at +110 seems like a favorable option.
Bet Builder Suggestion
Combine these elements for a well-rounded bet:
- Thun to win
- Both teams to score: yes
- Thun over 5.5 corners
Settle in with a warm drink, whether it’s tea or something stronger, as you prepare for this thrilling matchup. Good luck with your bets, and may your returns be warmer than the December chill!