Fenerbahce will host Stuttgart at the Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium in what promises to be an exciting Europa League match. The Turkish side aims to bounce back from their opening group game defeat, while Stuttgart will look to seize their chance to pull off an upset on the road. If you thought navigating the traffic in Istanbul was challenging, predicting how this match will unfold might be even trickier.
Betting Tips: Stuttgart on the Asian Handicap
Our betting tip for this matchup? Back Stuttgart on the Asian handicap at +0.25 (place half your stake at 0 and half at +0.5) at odds around –111. In simple terms, even a draw would yield a small profit, while a win would secure a solid return. Bookmakers currently suggest a 52.6% chance of success for Stuttgart, but after analyzing recent form and head-to-head results, we believe the probability leans closer to 55-60%. That presents a strong value opportunity.
Recent Form
Both teams enter this match after recent victories:
- Fenerbahce edged out Fatih Karagümrük with a 2-1 win in the Super Lig, enjoying 65% possession and making seven shots on target. Anderson Talisca and Marco Asensio both scored, maintaining the momentum for the Yellow Canaries.
- Stuttgart secured a comfortable 3-0 victory against Wolfsburg, with Tiago Tomás, Maximilian Mittelstädt, and Angelo Stiller finding the back of the net. The visitors controlled nearly 60% of the game and registered eight shots on goal.
In their last Europa League matches, Fenerbahce narrowly defeated Nice 2-1 at home, while Stuttgart faced a 2-0 loss away to Basel. Both teams currently sit on three points in the group, making this matchup even more crucial.
Team Performance Overview
Fenerbahce’s performance in their last ten matches reveals:
- Record: 6 wins, 4 draws
- Scoring: Average of 1.6 goals per match from 11.2 attempts
- Defense: Concedes only 0.7 goals per game
- Possession: Dominates with 62.3%
- Corners: Secures over six corners per match
Key players include Youssef En-Nesyri with five goals, supported by Talisca (3) and Asensio (2). Kerem Aktürkoğlu leads with two assists.
On the other hand, Stuttgart boasts an impressive record:
- Record: 8 wins, 2 losses in their last ten matches
- Scoring: Average of 1.9 goals from 16.9 attempts
- Defense: Concedes just 0.8 goals
- Possession: Maintains 60.8% average possession
- Passes: Completes around 559 passes per game
Ermedin Demirović is their top scorer with five goals, while Nick Woltemade has three. Tiago Tomás and Bilal El Khannouss have contributed with two goals each. Jamie Leweling leads in assists, and goalkeeper Alexander Nübel has achieved six clean sheets.
Predicted Line-ups
Fenerbahce (4-2-3-1):
- Tarık Çetin
- Nélson Semedo, Milan Škriniar, Jayden Oosterwolde, Archie Brown
- Marco Asensio, İsmail Yüksek
- Dorgelès Nene, Talisca, Kerem Aktürkoğlu
- En-Nesyri
Stuttgart (3-4-2-1):
- Alexander Nübel
- Luca Jäquez, Julian Chabot, Ramon Hendriks
- Lorenz Assignon, Chema Andrés, Angelo Stiller, Maximilian Mittelstädt
- Bilal El Khannouss, Nikolas Nartey
- Deniz Undav
Key Angles Behind Stuttgart’s +0.25 Bet
Stuttgart has consistently covered the +0.25 line in four of their last five matches and seven of their last ten. This trend, combined with favorable odds, makes this a smart betting choice. For those seeking even bigger returns, you could consider moving the handicap the other way, but be cautious as that may reduce your safety margin.
Conclusion
In the end, if anyone questions your betting habits, simply explain that you’re analyzing possession stats, shot maps, and expected goals, all while enjoying the process. After all, learning can occur even in the face of losses (just kidding; we truly hope that doesn’t happen). Best of luck!