As Palermo prepares to welcome Sampdoria to the Renzo Barbera, the underdog story may be tempting, but the hosts look set to dominate this matchup. Our pick for the Full-Time Result market is a Palermo win at around -132, which seems like a generous price given their recent form. If Palermo’s attack finds its rhythm, Sampdoria may struggle to put even a single goal on the board.
Recent Form
Palermo arrives at this match with a strong boost after a 3-1 victory against Empoli. Filippo Inzaghi’s side showcased their intensity, controlling 57 percent of possession, landing four shots on target, and seeing Joel Pohjanpalo score twice, with Jeremy Le Douaron netting the third goal.
In contrast, Sampdoria has faced challenges on the road but recently achieved a morale-boosting 3-2 win at home against Carrarese. They matched Palermo’s possession statistics at 57 percent and registered seven shots on goal, with Massimo Coda finding the net twice alongside Liam Henderson’s contribution.
Head-to-Head History
In their most recent clash at Luigi Ferraris, the match ended in a 1-1 draw. Analyzing their last five league meetings reveals three draws and one victory for each team.
- Palermo’s Serie B Performance:
- Points: 26 (7 wins, 5 draws, 3 losses)
- Goals Scored: 24
- Goals Conceded: 11
- Sampdoria’s Serie B Performance:
- Points: 13 (3 wins, 4 draws, 8 losses)
- Goals Scored: 15
- Goals Conceded: 22
Detailed Statistics
Examining the last ten fixtures paints a clearer picture:
- Palermo:
- Wins: 4, Draws: 3, Losses: 3
- Goals Per Game: 1.7
- Shots Per Game: 9.8 (4.2 on target)
- Average Corners: 5.1
- Defense: Concede fewer than one goal on average
- Key Players: Joel Pohjanpalo (7 goals), Jacopo Segre (3 goals), Niccolò Pierozzi (3 goals, assists)
- Sampdoria:
- Wins: 3, Draws: 3, Losses: 4
- Goals Per Game: 1.2
- Shots Per Game: 9.3 (3.7 on target)
- Average Corners: 6.3
- Defense: Concede 4.7 goals on average
- Key Players: Massimo Coda (6 goals, 3 assists), Liam Henderson (2 goals)
Predicted Line-ups
Both teams are expected to adopt similar formations:
- Palermo (3-4-2-1):
- Goalkeeper: Jesse Joronen
- Defense: Bartosz Bereszynski, Mattia Bani, Pietro Ceccaroni
- Wing-backs: Niccolò Pierozzi, Tommaso Augello
- Midfield: Jacopo Segre, Antonio Palumbo
- Forwards: Jeremy Le Douaron, Filippo Ranocchia, Joel Pohjanpalo
- Sampdoria (3-5-2):
- Goalkeeper: Simone Ghidotti
- Defense: Lorenzo Venuti, Alex Ferrari, Stipe Vulikic
- Wing-halves: Fabio Depaoli, Francesco Conti
- Midfield: Simone Pafundi, Liam Henderson, Nikolas Ioannou
- Forwards: Luigi Cherubini, Massimo Coda
Betting Insights
Bookmakers suggest Palermo has a 56.8 percent chance of victory. However, after analyzing the statistics, we believe the true probability sits closer to 60-65 percent, making the -132 odds appealing. For those looking for a better return, consider placing a bet on the Asian Handicap by backing Palermo to win by a goal or more.
Final Thoughts
As you prepare to enjoy the match, remember that responsible betting and the thrill of the game are more important than the outcome itself. Here’s hoping Palermo remains focused and delivers a satisfying win.