Newcastle United’s home matches at St James’ Park are always filled with an electric atmosphere. However, when second-placed Manchester City comes to town, the excitement reaches a whole new level. City has dominated their recent meetings with Newcastle, boasting an impressive record of seven wins, two draws, and just one loss in their last ten encounters. They also come into this match with a four-game unbeaten streak against the Magpies, making this clash one fans won’t want to miss.
Recent Form
Newcastle United has faced challenges recently, suffering back-to-back defeats in the Premier League. Their latest match was against Brentford at the Gtech Community Stadium, where they fell to a 3-1 loss. Despite holding 51 percent of possession, Newcastle managed only one shot on target. Harvey Barnes did provide a glimmer of hope by scoring their lone goal.
Conversely, Manchester City arrives in fine form. They have won their last two league matches, most recently delivering a convincing 3-0 victory over Liverpool at the Etihad Stadium. With 49 percent possession and six shots on goal, Pep Guardiola’s side demonstrated clinical finishing, with Erling Haaland, Nico Gonzalez, and Jeremy Doku all contributing to the scoreline.
Head-to-Head Analysis
When examining past matchups, the last meeting between these two teams resulted in a resounding 4-0 victory for City at the Etihad. Over the last ten encounters, Newcastle has managed three wins and two draws but has conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game. The Magpies have averaged only 1.1 goals per match, with approximately 3.7 shots on target and 11.4 attempts overall. In contrast, City averages 10.9 attempts and 4.6 shots on target per game, along with winning an average of 5.2 corners.
Predicted Line-Ups
The tactical setup for this match promises to be intriguing. Here are the likely formations:
Newcastle (4-3-3)
- Goalkeeper: Nick Pope
- Defenders: Kieran Trippier, Malick Thiaw, Sven Botman, Lewis Hall
- Midfielders: Bruno Guimaraes, Sandro Tonali, Joelinton
- Forwards: Jacob Murphy, Nick Woltemade, Harvey Barnes
Manchester City (4-1-4-1)
- Goalkeeper: Gianluigi Donnarumma
- Defenders: Matheus Nunes, Ruben Dias, Josko Gvardiol, Nico O’Reilly
- Midfielder: Nico Gonzalez
- Midfielders: Rayan Cherki, Bernardo Silva, Phil Foden, Jeremy Doku
- Forward: Erling Haaland
Betting Outlook and Tips
Main Pick: Back Manchester City to win at -110. While bookmakers give City a 52.4 percent chance, we believe the probability is closer to 55-60 percent, making this a worthwhile wager for those expecting a decisive victory.
Double Opportunity: Consider combining a City win with Both Teams to Score for bigger odds, especially if you anticipate a more open match.
Correct Score: We recommend Newcastle 1-2 Manchester City at +650. If you think City will win but concede a goal, this scoreline can offer an enticing return. Other attractive options include 2-1 at +900 and 1-1 at +540.
Player Prop Bets
- Phil Foden Under 0.5 Shots on Target at -120: Foden has failed to hit the target in his last four league matches, making backing him to miss again a sensible choice.
- Erling Haaland to Score Anytime at -133: With goals in eight of his last ten Premier League outings, Haaland is a reliable scoring bet.
Corner Betting
- Newcastle Over 3.5 Corners at -152: The Magpies have surpassed this mark in their last six home games. Additionally, City has allowed over 3.5 corners in their last three matches, making this line seem generous.
Conclusion
With informed decisions, a sensible stake, and a touch of enthusiasm, you can enjoy the thrill of betting on this exciting match. Just remember to avoid letting your optimism exceed your bankroll management. Unless you have a spare yacht to sell, keep the experience fun and responsible!