This weekend, the Newcastle Jets will host Melbourne Victory at McDonald Jones Stadium. If you are considering where to place your bets, there is a strong argument in favor of siding with the visitors. Backing Melbourne Victory feels as secure as wearing wellies in a rainstorm—hardly a gamble at all.
Recent Form and Team Analysis
Newcastle Jets
Newcastle Jets come into this match after suffering a 3-2 defeat against Central Coast Mariners. Mark Milligan’s side controlled 61 percent possession and managed five shots on target. However, they were undone by goals from Alexander Badolato and Lachlan Rose. While they have shown a desire to push forward, their attacking intent has left them vulnerable defensively.
Recent Performance:
- Last 10 Matches: 2 Wins, 3 Draws, 5 Losses
- Average Goals per Game: 1.9
- Average Shots on Target: 4.6
- Average Attempts Overall: 10.9
- Goals Conceded per Game: 2.0 from 6.6 shots on target
Eli Adams leads the scoring for Newcastle with five goals, followed by Lachlan Rose with four. Clayton Taylor contributes with two goals and tops the assists chart with four.
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory, on the other hand, has also left their fans wanting more after a goalless draw with Auckland at AAMI Park. The Boys in Blue recorded only two shots on target and had 48 percent possession. Despite the lack of goals, keeping a clean sheet can provide a much-needed morale boost, even if their offense remains somewhat blunt.
Recent Performance:
- Last 10 Matches: 5 Wins, 2 Draws, 3 Losses
- Average Goals per Game: 1.5
- Average Attempts per Match: 10.6 (4.4 on target)
- Goals Conceded per Game: 1.2 from 3.5 shots on target
Key players for Victory include Zinedine Machach, Kasey Bos, and Nikolaos Vergos, each with three goals. Nishan Velupillay follows closely with two goals and leads in assists with four.
Head-to-Head History
Historically, Newcastle Jets have struggled against Melbourne Victory. They have avoided defeat just once in their last three encounters; their most recent match ended in a 1-1 draw at AAMI Park. In the last ten head-to-head meetings, Melbourne has claimed four victories compared to Newcastle’s three, with three matches ending in a draw.
Betting Insights
So, what’s the call for this matchup? Melbourne Victory has won four of their last five away games, whereas Newcastle has lost three of their last five and seven of their last thirteen home fixtures. Betting odds give Melbourne a win probability of around 50 percent, but our analysis suggests a figure closer to 55-60 percent, making the -100 price for a Victory win appealing.
Betting Options:
- Double Result: Consider backing Melbourne to lead at both half-time and full-time for added excitement.
- Correct Score Predictions: Look for value with:
- 1-0 Victory at +800
- 2-1 Newcastle at +700
- 1-2 Melbourne at +600
- 0-1 Victory at +800
- Anytime Goalscorer: Nishan Velupillay is a standout, with +240 odds for scoring anytime.
Corners Market
The corners market can often be overlooked. We recommend betting on Melbourne Victory to stay under 5.5 corners, as tight games typically result in fewer set-piece opportunities.
Conclusion
Place your bets wisely and enjoy the excitement of the game. Here’s hoping your wagers turn out to be successful!