Liverpool and Crystal Palace face off in the fourth round of the EFL Cup at Anfield. If you thought a quiet Wednesday at the library was in store, think again. Both teams have recently demonstrated a strong ability to score, leading us to our primary betting suggestion: both teams to score (BTTS) at approximately -156. This market has consistently paid out for both Liverpool and Palace, and the odds seem fair considering their current form.
Recent Performances
On the league side, Liverpool suffered a close 3-2 defeat to Brentford, despite controlling 66 percent possession and registering five shots on target. Milos Kerkez and Mohamed Salah were instrumental in that match. Meanwhile, Crystal Palace narrowly lost 1-0 to Arsenal, managing only one shot on goal throughout the game.
In their cup matches this season, the Reds defeated Southampton 2-1 at Anfield, while Palace progressed past Millwall in penalties after a 1-1 draw.
Head-to-Head History
In their last encounter at Selhurst Park, Crystal Palace claimed a 2-1 victory. Looking back at the previous ten matches between these two teams, Liverpool has won five times, Palace has won twice, and there have been three draws. Notably, only two of these ten fixtures saw both teams score. This makes the BTTS bet feel adventurous yet intriguing.
Recent Form Analysis
Liverpool’s Last Ten Matches:
- Record: 6 wins, 4 defeats
- Goals per match: 1.8 from approximately 15 attempts
- Shots on target: 4.5 per game
- Possession: 62 percent
- Corners: About five per match
- Goals conceded: 1.5 on average, facing 11.1 shots per game
Key players for Liverpool include:
- Top scorer with four goals
- Mohamed Salah and Cody Gakpo with three goals each
- Federico Chiesa contributing three assists
- Alisson Becker with two clean sheets
Crystal Palace’s Last Ten Matches:
- Record: 4 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses
- Goals per game: 1.7 from 13 attempts
- Shots on target: Approximately five per match
- Possession: 44 percent
- Corners: About four per game
- Goals conceded: Just over one per match facing 11.2 attempts and 3.2 shots
Key players for Palace include:
- Jean-Philippe Mateta as the top scorer with five goals
- Ismaila Sarr with three goals
- Daniel Muñoz contributing two assists
- Dean Henderson with three clean sheets
Why Bet on Both Teams to Score?
Backing BTTS is justified as it has occurred in six consecutive Liverpool games, eight of their last ten, and 16 of 20 overall. For Palace, this has been the case in four of their last five games and 13 of 20. While the betting market implies a roughly 61 percent chance of both teams scoring, our analysis suggests it leans closer to 70 percent. If you prefer betting on overall goals instead of both teams scoring, consider the Over 2.5 Goals option.
Scoreline Prediction and Player Props
A scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Liverpool appears to be a likely outcome at reasonable odds. For player props, consider betting on Mohamed Salah to record under 1.5 shots on target, a stat he has achieved in eight of his last nine home outings. Additionally, Hugo Ekitike, who has scored three goals in his last five visits to Anfield, presents an attractive anytime goalscorer option at around +150.
Palace’s recent form shows an average of 4.6 corners in their last five matches, while Liverpool has conceded at least four corners in each of their last five home games. Backing Palace to record over 3.5 corners at -120 could be a solid choice.
Creative Betting Suggestions
For a unique approach, consider building a bet that combines Both Teams to Score Yes, Liverpool to win, and Salah under 1.5 shots on target. Remember to bet responsibly and stick to your wagering plan. If you are tempted to place a bet on a penalty shootout, keep in mind that while it sounds appealing, it may not hold up in high-pressure moments.
In summary, as Liverpool and Crystal Palace prepare to clash, expect an exciting match filled with scoring opportunities.