Lausanne will be looking to maintain their strong home form when they face Fiorentina in the Europa Conference League. Betting on Lausanne with an Asian Handicap of +0.5 (odds around -127) means we only need them to either win or draw. Given their current form, this seems like a solid choice. Switzerland is famed for its precision; let’s hope Lausanne brings that same meticulous attitude to keeping a clean sheet rather than just perfecting fondue.
Recent Performance
In their last match, Lausanne played against FC Basel and secured a goalless draw. They held 50 percent possession, managed four shots on target, and demonstrated a comfortable, if not dazzling, performance through defensive organization. This solid foundation should serve them well against a Fiorentina team still searching for form in Serie A this season.
On the other side, Fiorentina faced Hellas Verona at home in their last league match, suffering a 2-1 defeat despite dominating possession with 66 percent and recording four attempts on target. Their recent performances have been disappointing, with only one win, two draws, and seven losses in their last ten matchups across Serie A and Europe. If they struggled to score at home against Verona, it raises questions about their capability to beat Lausanne in Switzerland.
Betting Trends
Looking more closely at the betting trends, Lausanne has covered the +0.5 handicap in their last four matches, seven of their last ten, and an impressive fourteen of their last twenty outings. Fiorentina, on the other hand, has not won by more than a single goal in their last five away fixtures and has failed to cover a -0.5 handicap in 17 of their last 20 away games. These statistics highlight a favorable position for the home side.
Team Statistics
When we examine their broader recent performances, here’s how each team stacks up:
Lausanne:
- Last ten matches: 2 wins, 3 losses, 5 draws
- Goals per game: 0.8 from an average of 5.3 shots on target
- Overall attempts: Approximately 11.5 per game
- Defensive record: Concedes about 1.1 goals from 3.5 shots on target
Fiorentina:
- Last ten matches: 1 win, 2 draws, 7 losses
- Goals per game: 0.8 from an average of 3.7 shots on target
- Overall attempts: Around 11 per game
- Defensive record: Concedes about 1.8 goals and faces almost 5 shots on target
Key Players
On the individual front, Lausanne’s Beyatt Lekoueiry leads the team with three goals in all competitions, followed closely by Thelonius Bair with two. Sekou Fofana and others have each contributed one goal. In terms of assists, Gaoussou Diakite and Brandon Soppy are at the top with two each.
For Fiorentina, Rolando Mandragora and Albert Gudmundsson share the top scorer title with two goals each, while Moise Kean has contributed one goal and two assists.
Conclusion and Betting Recommendation
The market odds of around -127 imply a roughly 55.9 percent chance of a draw or home win. Our analysis suggests that this figure is more likely in the 60-65 percent range, adding extra value to this Asian Handicap bet. Remember to manage your bankroll wisely; disciplined betting is key.
If you are looking for larger returns, consider wagering on a winning margin market. Betting on Lausanne to win by one goal could add an extra layer of excitement. And if the match ends in a draw, you can always claim you anticipated it, making your betting experience more enjoyable.