Dortmund’s fortress-like form at Signal Iduna Park poses a significant challenge for Athletic Bilbao in this Champions League tie. While Dortmund is riding high with a strong home record, Athletic has struggled on the road recently, leading one to wonder if they packed their holiday luggage instead of an effective game plan.
Dortmund’s Impressive Home Record
Dortmund boasts impressive statistics:
- Seven straight home wins
- Eight victories in their last ten outings
- Thirteen wins from the past twenty matches
These figures illustrate a side filled with confidence and ready to perform. In contrast, Athletic has lost four of their last five matches and faced defeat in their last two away outings.
No wonder the bookmakers have set Dortmund’s odds at -132, suggesting about a 56.8% chance of victory. After evaluating the situation, I would estimate their win probability at around 60-65%.
Betting Recommendations
If you’re considering a straight win, backing Dortmund at -132 is highly recommended. However, if you want to add some excitement to your bet slip, consider these options:
- Result & Both Teams to Score
- Double Result markets
- Asian Handicap alternative
Each of these opportunities provides a solid payout without straying too far from the logical expectation of the match.
Exact Score Predictions
For those interested in the exact score, a 2-0 win for Dortmund at +700 seems promising. Dortmund has demonstrated solid defensive capabilities at home, and Athletic’s recent defensive lapses indicate they may buckle under pressure. Here are other popular betting lines:
- 1-0 at +600
- 1-1 at +540
- For the more daring, consider 0-2 at +1500 or an ambitious 5-2 at +10000.
Player Props to Consider
Player prop bets offer additional excitement:
- Karim Adeyemi: He has recorded at least one shot on target in each of his last four matches, making his bet for Over 0.5 Shots On Target at -159 very appealing. Additionally:
- Anytime Goalscorer: +270
- First Goalscorer: +575
- Shots on Target Line: Over 0.5 at -185, Under at +117
- Felix Nmecha: Scoring three goals in his last five home games makes the Anytime Goalscorer bet at +525 a tempting choice. His odds also include:
- Anytime Goal: +540
- Open the Scoring: +1300
- Shots on Target Line: Over 0.5 at +180, Under at -303
Corner Bets
Both teams are prone to generating corners. Athletic has exceeded nine corners in each of their last three away fixtures, while Dortmund has achieved the same feat in two consecutive home games. Therefore, the Total Corners Over 9.5 at -122 stands out as an attractive option.
## Conclusion
In conclusion, with Dortmund’s strong home performance and Athletic’s recent struggles, we’re predicting a home win with a clean sheet, likely ending in a neat 2-0. Fingers crossed for an abundance of corners; if I had a penny for each one, I could retire by kickoff!