Chelsea welcomes struggling Wolves to Stamford Bridge in a matchup that promises more intrigue than most mystery novels. The visitors have been languishing at the bottom of the table for so long that it feels like they might need a torch when they arrive at the Bridge. For bettors, the standout angle is the likelihood of both teams not finding the net. Currently, the odds for “Both Teams to Score: No” are around -123. Considering Chelsea’s impressive record of achieving shutouts in 11 of their last 20 matches, coupled with Wolves having kept their opponents at bay in four of their last five away games, the betting value becomes apparent.
Chelsea’s Recent Form
Mauricio Pochettino’s side comes into this game following a hard-fought 1-0 victory against Spurs, courtesy of João Pedro’s 34th-minute strike. They also played to a 2-2 draw in Europe against Qarabag FK. In their last ten Premier League matches, Chelsea has secured five wins, two draws, and three losses. They have averaged 1.8 goals per match from nearly 14 shots, controlling around 60 percent of possession. Enzo Fernández, Moisés Caicedo, and João Pedro lead the scoring charts for Chelsea, each with three goals, while Robert Sánchez has recorded four clean sheets.
Wolves’ Form Struggles
Wolves have been on a rollercoaster ride since the departure of Pereira, guided now by youth coaches James Collins and Richard Walker. Their recent record shows eight losses and two draws over ten matches, averaging just 0.7 goals scored while conceding 2.2 per game. In a disappointing 3-0 defeat at Fulham, they managed a mere 36 percent possession and only two shots on target. Marshall Munetsi leads a group of six Wolves players with just one league goal this season, and assists have also been hard to come by.
Historical Context
History favors Chelsea in this matchup. They have triumphed over Wolves in their last three encounters, including a thrilling 4-3 win in the EFL Cup at Molineux. Across the last ten meetings, Chelsea has secured four victories, while Wolves have three, with three matches ending in draws. At Stamford Bridge, Chelsea has achieved three home wins, three draws, and only one defeat in their last seven clashes with Wolves. The most recent fixture ended in a 3-1 victory for Chelsea.
Betting Insights
Given these trends, betting on both teams failing to score seems a sensible choice. The bookmakers imply a 55 percent chance of this occurring, but we believe it could be closer to 60-65 percent, making it a compelling value bet. For those looking to increase returns, combining this bet with a Chelsea win to nil could be a strategic option.
Additional Betting Options
- Correct Score Bet: A 1-0 victory for Chelsea is priced at approximately +650, while a 2-0 win is listed at +540. For those hedging their stakes, a 1-1 draw is available at +700.
- Player Props:
- Jean Ricner Bellegarde has hit one or more shots on target in his last two league matches, priced at +265 to do so again.
- Moisés Caicedo to score anytime is listed at +700, especially appealing as he has three goals in ten top-flight matches.
- Corners Market: Wolves have failed to secure more than two corners in each of their last two away games. Meanwhile, Chelsea has allowed an average of just over three corners at home. Betting on under 2.5 corners for Wolves is trading at -110.
Same-Game Multi Suggestions
If you prefer a same-game multi bet, consider the following combination:
- Both Teams to Score: No
- Wolves +1.5 Asian Handicap (around -120)
- Bellegarde to Register At Least One Shot on Target
This blend provides a low-scoring outcome, underdog insurance, and acknowledges Wolves’ limited bright spots.
Match Odds
- Chelsea Win: Approximately -286
- Draw: +410
- Wolves Win: +750
- Asian Handicap: Chelsea -1.5 around -102, Wolves +1.5 at -123
- Both Teams Not to Score: Close to -118
First Goalscorer Markets
- João Pedro: Approximately +130 to score first or +360 anytime
- Liam Delap: +180 for the first goal
- Enzo Fernández: +190
Conclusion
Chelsea’s home form remains strong, with seven wins, one draw, and two losses in their last ten matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. On the other hand, Wolves have struggled away from home, failing to win in their last seven matches, with only one draw and six losses, scoring an average of 0.8 goals while conceding 1.5.
If Wolves hope to snatch a result, they may need more than just good luck. Remember to gamble responsibly; after all, your bank balance should enjoy a workout, not a heart attack!