Sport Recife will welcome Ceará to the Ilha do Retiro on Wednesday, October 15, with kick-off scheduled for 19:00 local time. This matchup presents a crucial test for both teams: Sport Recife is eager to escape the bottom of the table, while Ceará aims to maintain their position in the competitive mid-table group.
Recent Form
If you were expecting a picturesque beach getaway, you might need to adjust your plans. This match could end up feeling more like a battle against Brazilian defenses than a leisurely day by the surf.
Sport Recife
In their latest outing, Sport Recife faced a tough challenge against Atlético Mineiro, suffering a 3-1 defeat. Despite holding 54 percent possession and recording two shots on target, Daniel Paulista’s squad struggled with finishing. Derik Lacerda did manage to score a consolation goal, but it was little reward for a performance that lacked sharpness.
Ceará
Ceará, on the other hand, returned home with a stunning performance against Santos, winning 3-0. Although they only had 41 percent possession, they were efficient with their chances, landing four shots on target. Goals from Lucas Mugni, Pedro Henrique, and Fernando Sobral demonstrated that possession is not always the key to victory.
Head-to-Head History
The head-to-head record shows a slight advantage for Ceará. The last meeting ended in a 2-0 victory for Ceará in Fortaleza. Analyzing their nine clashes, both teams have three wins each, with three matches ending in a draw. Clearly, the two sides are closely matched in direct encounters.
Current League Standings
The league standings reveal a more significant disparity. Ceará is currently in 10th place with 34 points from 26 games, having scored 26 goals and conceded 24. In stark contrast, Sport Recife sits at the bottom (20th) with just 16 points, scoring 20 while conceding 41 goals. These statistics reflect the differences in confidence and form, which are key for bettors to consider.
Form Guide: Last 10 League MatchesSport Recife:
- Wins: 2
- Draws: 4
- Losses: 4
- Goals Per Game: 1.1
- Shots: 8.5 (On Target: 4.1)
- Goals Conceded: 1.6 (Shots Against: 12.2)
- Top Scorers:
- Derik Lacerda: 4 goals
- Lucas Lima: 3 goals
- Matheusinho: 2 goals
- Assists Leader: Lucas Lima (2 assists)
Ceará:
- Wins: 3
- Draws: 4
- Losses: 3
- Goals Per Game: 1.0
- Shots: 8.9 (On Target: 4.6)
- Goals Conceded: 0.8 (Shots Against: 10.3)
- Top Scorers:
- Pedro Henrique: 3 goals
- Lourenço: 2 goals
- Lucas Mugni: 1 goal
- Assists Leader: Antonio Galeano (3 assists)
Predicted Lineups
Sport Recife (4-3-3)
- Goalkeeper: Gabriel
- Defense: Aderlan, Rafael Thyere, João Silva, Luan Cândido
- Midfield: Pedro Augusto, Ze Lucas, Lucas Lima
- Attack: Matheusinho, Derik Lacerda, Romarinho
Ceará (4-2-3-1)
- Goalkeeper: Bruno Ferreira
- Defense: Fabiano, Marllon, Willian Machado, Matheus Bahia
- Midfield: Lourenço, Richardson; Antonio Galeano, Lucas Mugni, Pedro Henrique
- Striker: Pedro Raul
Betting Guide and Key Picks
- Asian Handicap: Consider betting on Ceará +0.25 at around -125. This bet could yield a win if Ceará triumphs and even a draw returns a small profit. Recent form supports this; Ceará has covered this line in four of their last five matches.
- Probability Assessment: Leading bookmakers suggest this selection has around a 55.6 percent success rate, though our insights indicate a higher confidence of 60 to 65 percent.
Correct Score Suggestions
- 1-0 Ceará @ +510
- 2-0 Ceará @ +800
- 0-0 draw @ +600
- 1-2 Ceará @ +900
Player Props
- Derik Lacerda Over 0.5 Shots On Target at approximately -159. Given his tendency to find goal-scoring opportunities, he should manage at least one shot on target.
Corners Market
- Under 4.5 Team Corners for Ceará at about -138. They have only exceeded this total once in their last ten matches, suggesting the market is set too high.
Bet Builder Angle
- Asian Handicap: Ceará +0.25 [-125]
- Total Goals: Under 2.5 [-200]
- Shots On Target: Derik Lacerda Over 0.5 [-159]
Odds Snapshot
Match odds currently stand at:
- Sport Recife win: +135
- Draw: +215
- Ceará win: +210
- Draw No Bet options:
- Sport: -156
- Ceará: +115
- Under 2.5 goals: -150
- Both Teams to Score No: -147
Conclusion
For those who prefer a strategic betting approach rather than taking unnecessary risks, backing Ceará +0.25 is a sound choice. Combine this with a low-scoring correct result and a shot on target from Lacerda for a well-rounded bet. Above all, stake responsibly and enjoy the match. And if you’re still daydreaming about a beach escape, perhaps this wager can bring some sunny vibes to your day. Just don’t forget your sunscreen!