Burnley’s season has felt like waiting for a bus that never arrives. While there have been promising moments, the overall experience has been disappointing. As they approach matchday, Burnley will aim to break free from a slide that has left them second from bottom in the league standings. On the other hand, Newcastle United visit Turf Moor with confidence, looking to extend their dominating head-to-head record against Burnley, having won five consecutive matches at this venue.
Burnley’s Recent Form
On their home turf, Burnley’s last match ended in a goalless draw against Everton. Despite enjoying around 55 percent possession, they failed to generate a single shot on target. It seems they may have left their shooting boots behind in the changing room.
Confidence is low for Burnley, particularly as four of their last five home matches have resulted in defeat. Additionally, they have lost seven of their last ten games across all competitions.
Newcastle’s Current Situation
Newcastle, in contrast, has been grappling with back-to-back away losses in the Premier League. Their most recent defeat came at Old Trafford, where they controlled 67 percent of possession but managed only three attempts on goal, losing 1-0. This creates a puzzling situation: dominating possession without the ability to convert that control into goals. However, it feels like this Magpies squad will soon find their scoring touch again.
Historical Head-to-Head
Historically, Newcastle has the upper hand against Burnley. In the last ten encounters, the Magpies have won seven times, drawn twice, and lost just once. Their most recent meeting at St James’ Park ended with Newcastle winning 2-1, marking their fifth straight victory over Burnley. This trend suggests that rivalries can sometimes feel one-sided.
Betting Insights
Given the evidence, backing Newcastle to win at odds of -161 appears to be a sensible choice. These odds imply a 61.7 percent chance of victory, but our analysis suggests their chances are closer to 70 percent. In practical terms, for every pound staked, you could expect to win about 0.62 if Newcastle secures a win. This is a balanced bet, enough to consider including in your matchday budget.
When seeking potentially higher returns without straying into unrealistic territory, consider exploring the Asian Handicap market. By betting on the favorites to cover a line, you can tilt the risk-reward balance in your favor, unlocking better value compared to a straightforward win bet.
Conclusion
Considering Newcastle’s upward momentum and psychological advantage, they are a tough team to oppose. Let’s hope the Magpies remain grounded as they attempt to continue their winning streak. After all, the entertaining chants from fans would surely echo in their minds as they strive for victory.