Arsenal and Crystal Palace are set to clash in what promises to be an exciting London derby. The Gunners appear to be in prime form, making a strong case for their victory in this match. If you’ve ever thought about adding a touch of insurance to your bet, consider the Asian Handicap line of Arsenal minus 1.25 at odds of -116. This means you are betting on Arsenal to win by two or more goals. If they win by just one goal, you still get back half your stake—a reassuring safety net for even the most cautious bettors.
Head-to-Head Record
In the last ten encounters between these two teams, Arsenal has emerged victorious seven times, with Crystal Palace managing only one win and two draws. Currently, Arsenal is enjoying a remarkable run, recording eight wins, one draw, and just one defeat in their last ten league matches. Their latest league performance saw them secure a narrow 1-0 victory against Fulham, thanks to Leandro Trossard’s clinical finish and dominating 63 percent possession. Just last week, they showcased their prowess by defeating Atletico Madrid 4-0 in the Champions League, proving they can both grind out results and play stylish football.
Crystal Palace’s Recent Performance
Under the management of Oliver Glasner, Crystal Palace has displayed flashes of brilliance, particularly in their thrilling 3-3 draw against Bournemouth at Selhurst Park. Jean-Philippe Mateta earned a hat-trick in that match, and while Palace enjoyed slightly more possession, their inconsistency remains a concern. Three days after the draw, they stumbled in the Europa Conference League, losing 1-0 to AEK Larnaca. Although Palace can be a handful in matches, they struggle to maintain their performance for the full 90 minutes.
Statistical Breakdown
Analyzing the numbers provides insight into the match dynamics:
- Arsenal’s Offensive Strengths:
- Average 1.8 goals from 4.5 shots on target per match
- Totaling 15.6 attempts per game
- Enjoying 58.3 percent possession and approximately 475 passes at home
- Crystal Palace’s Performance on the Road:
- Average 1.7 goals scored and conceded in their last ten away matches
- Producing about 5.7 shots on target from 12.8 attempts
These statistics suggest Arsenal should control the match and keep Palace at bay.
Recommended Bets
Our top pick is the Asian Handicap of Arsenal -1.25 at -116. Given Arsenal’s history of covering this line at home—three times out of their last five matches—this wager is backed by solid recent performance. If you prefer to add some excitement, consider a correct score bet of 2-0 for Arsenal, which offers attractive odds at +510.
Additional Betting Options:
- Leandro Trossard Under 0.5 Shots On Target at -159: He has not registered a single shot on target in his last five Premier League home games, making this a compelling angle.
- Declan Rice to Score at +575: With two goals in his last five home matches, Rice could provide a rare moment of brilliance.
- Total Corners Over 9.5 at -147: Six consecutive Arsenal matches have resulted in more than 9.5 corners, while Palace’s last five away matches have averaged 11.4 corners.
If you’re constructing a Bet Builder, consider combining Arsenal -1.25, Under 2.5 Goals (+108), and Trossard Under 0.5 Shots On Target for a balanced approach. This strategy emphasizes sensible staking over chasing unrealistic odds.
Odds Overview
In the outright markets, Arsenal is a strong favorite at around -263, implying a 72 percent chance of winning, while Crystal Palace sits at +750. The over 2.5 goal line remains popular, but we expect a tighter finish. Viktor Gyokeres, known as the “first-goal specialist,” is priced at -125 to score first and +225 at any time, alongside Bukayo Saka, Mateta, and Trossard, who are all competitive options in the first-goal markets.
Conclusion
Successful betting revolves around making informed decisions, managing your bankroll wisely, and enjoying the game rather than chasing improbable returns. Arsenal seems well-positioned to secure a convincing victory, and with a few strategic bets, you can maximize your enjoyment of the match. Even a Palace supporter might smile if their team manages a draw—but let’s hope that’s not necessary for our wagers to pay off!