Belgrano will host San Martín de San Juan at the Estadio Julio César Villagra on Thursday, September 11, with kick-off scheduled for 19:00. As a punter, there’s plenty to analyze before placing any bets. We’ve gathered essential stats, recent form, head-to-head trends, team news, predicted line-ups, and our top betting tips—all presented in straightforward language for easy understanding.
Odds Overview
Currently, the bookmakers favor Belgrano as slight favorites at around −105 to secure all three points. This suggests a 51.3% probability of victory. However, after examining the statistics, we believe their true chances are closer to 60%. In basic terms, this indicates good value, making it a smarter choice than picking a random answer in a pub quiz.
Recent Form & Head-to-Head
Belgrano enters this match after losing their last two league games, including a 2-1 defeat against Defensa y Justicia where Franco Jara scored the only goal for the team. Notably, they are winless in their last two home matches against San Martín. On the other hand, San Martín faced a 2-0 loss to River Plate, managing just four shots on target and holding only 38% possession. Their last visit to Córdoba resulted in a memorable 3-1 win over Belgrano, underscoring that anything can happen in football.
Here’s a look at their recent performances:
Belgrano – Last 10 Primera División Games
- Record: 2 wins, 5 draws, 3 defeats
- Goals Scored: 8 (0.8 per game)
- Goals Conceded: 9 (0.9 per game)
- Average Possession: 48.5%
- Corners For: 3.9 | Corners Against: 4.0
- Joint Top Scorers: Franco Jara, Lucas Zelarayan, Nicolás Fernández (2 goals each)
- Top Creator: Franco Jara (2 assists)
San Martín – Last 10 Primera División Games
- Record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 5 defeats
- Goals Scored: 6 (0.6 per game)
- Goals Conceded: 11 (1.1 per game)
- Average Possession: 47.6%
- Corners For: 5.6 | Corners Against: 5.2
- Top Scorer: Horacio Tijanovich (2 goals)
- Other Scorers: Marco Iacobellis, Santiago Salle, Franco Toloza (1 each)
- Top Assists: Santiago Salle, Marco Iacobellis, Sebastián Jaurena (1 each)
Predicted Line-Ups
Belgrano (4-3-1-2):
- Thiago Cardozo
- Elías López, Leonardo Morales, Lisandro López, Federico Ricca
- Gabriel Compagnucci, Santiago Longo, Francisco González Metilli
- Lucas Zelarayan
- Franco Jara, Nicolás Fernández
San Martín (4-2-3-1):
- Matías Borgogno
- Ayrton Portillo, Rodrigo Cáseres, Luciano Recalde, Lucas Diarte
- Nicolás Watson, Sebastián Jaurena
- Santiago Salle, Sebastián González, Horacio Tijanovich
- Ignacio Maestro Puch
Match Prediction & Betting Tips
1. Full-Time Result: Bet on Belgrano to win at −105. We expect them to be sharper across the field and eager to avoid a third consecutive defeat.
2. Value Angle: The implied 51.3% probability is generous, especially when considering Belgrano’s home advantage and San Martín’s poor away record.
3. Alternative Market: For punters looking for higher odds, consider betting on Belgrano to win with Both Teams to Score. This option may provide a better payout if you believe San Martín can find the net.
Money Management Note
Always compare different bookmakers for the best odds and promotions. Bet responsibly, keeping stakes sensible, and treat each wager as an informed decision rather than a guaranteed win.
Final Whistle
In summary, Belgrano look like strong contenders for victory. At −105, there’s genuine value if you back them. If they win, let’s celebrate—you know I’ll virtually buy you a pint, and we can both claim we knew all along that the home side had it in them.