Fulham is set to welcome Nottingham Forest to Craven Cottage for an exciting London derby. With recent form favoring the Cottagers, we are leaning towards backing Fulham on the Asian handicap of 0.0. This means you get your stake back if the match ends in a draw, providing a safety net for cautious bettors. Given Fulham’s impressive track record against Forest, this bet feels more secure than risking your money over the Thames.
Recent Encounters
Fulham has dominated Nottingham Forest in their last ten meetings, winning seven times and securing victories in both of their most recent clashes. It seems Craven Cottage may be an unlucky destination for Sean Dyche’s team. In their last league match, Marco Silva’s Fulham snatched a dramatic 3-2 victory over Burnley, controlling 48 percent of possession and landing four shots on target. Key players like Emile Smith Rowe, Calvin Bassey, and Harry Wilson all contributed to the scoring. However, their EFL Cup trip to Newcastle did not go as smoothly, resulting in a 2-1 defeat.
Nottingham Forest’s Recent Form
On the other hand, Nottingham Forest arrives at Craven Cottage with momentum from a convincing 3-0 win against Tottenham at the City Ground. They also had 48 percent possession and fired six shots on goal, with Callum Hudson-Odoi netting two and Ibrahim Sangare adding another. Despite this win, Forest currently sits two places below Fulham in the league standings. After 16 games, Fulham has accumulated 20 points (six wins, two draws, and eight losses), while Forest has 18 points (five wins, three draws, and eight losses).
Team Performance Breakdown
- Fulham:
- Last 10 League Matches: 4 wins, 6 losses
- Average Goals Per Game: 1.6 from 12.1 attempts
- Average Shots on Target: 4.1
- Possession: 50.6 percent
- Corners Per Match: 5.3
- Goals Conceded: 1.8
- Top Scorer: Harry Wilson (4 goals)
- Key Assists: Samuel Chukwueze (4 assists)
- Clean Sheets: Bernd Leno (2)
- Nottingham Forest:
- Last 10 League Matches: 4 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses
- Average Goals Per Game: 1.2 from 11.9 chances
- Average Shots on Target: 4.1
- Possession: 46.5 percent
- Passes Completed: 386.8
- Goals Conceded: 1.5
- Top Scorer: Morgan Gibbs-White (3 goals)
- Key Assists: Sangare and Omari Hutchinson (2 assists each)
- Clean Sheets: Matz Sels (2)
Predicted Line-ups
Fulham (4-2-3-1):
- Bernd Leno
- Kenny Tete, Joachim Andersen, Cuenca, Antonee Robinson
- Sasa Lukic, Sander Berge
- Harry Wilson, Emile Smith Rowe, Kevin
- Raul Jimenez
Nottingham Forest (4-2-3-1):
- Matz Sels
- Nicolo Savona, Nikola Milenkovic, Murillo, Williams
- Douglas Luiz, Anderson
- Omari Hutchinson, Morgan Gibbs-White, Callum Hudson-Odoi
- Igor Jesus
Betting Predictions
Our primary pick for this match is Fulham on the Asian handicap of 0.0, available at approximately -141. Fulham has successfully covered this line in three of their last five matches, while Forest has failed to beat this line in 14 of their past 20 away games. Notably, in recent head-to-head encounters, Fulham has covered this line in the last two matches. Although bookmakers suggest a probability of about 58.5 percent for this bet, our analysis indicates a higher likelihood of 65-70 percent, making it a strong option.
If you are considering a correct score bet, Fulham winning 1-0 is priced at around +650, while a 2-1 victory stands at +750. Player props to watch include Morgan Gibbs-White to register over 1.5 shots at -118, as he has done this in eight of his last ten Premier League matches. Additionally, Emile Smith Rowe to score anytime at +500 is attractive, given his two goals in the last five games.
For an accumulator bet, combining Fulham to cover the Asian handicap, Smith Rowe to score, and Gibbs-White to have over 1.5 shots may provide attractive odds while minimizing risk. And if things don’t go your way, at least you can take solace in your trusty lucky socks.