Ipswich Town is set to welcome Stoke City to Portman Road in what promises to be an exciting Championship matchup. The Tractor Boys have been performing exceptionally well recently and will be eager to demonstrate to Stoke why this fixture can be challenging for away supporters. Betting on Ipswich to secure a victory at odds of around -154 offers good value, especially considering recent performances.
Recent Form
Ipswich comes into this match fresh off a convincing 3-0 win against Coventry City, despite having just 38 percent possession. Kieran McKenna’s side managed to land six shots on target, with Sindre Walle Egeli, George Hirst, and Ivan Azon all contributing to the scoreline.
Conversely, Stoke City has struggled lately, losing their last two league matches, including a heavy 4-0 defeat to Sheffield United, despite enjoying 61 percent of the ball. Their attack has been blunt, with only one shot on target in that game, highlighting their difficulties on the road.
Head-to-Head Insights
In their previous encounter at the bet365 Stadium this season, Ipswich and Stoke played to a goalless draw. Ipswich has gone three matches without defeat against Stoke, recording one win and two draws. Over these three meetings, Ipswich averaged 1.7 goals from 5.2 shots on target, maintained 56.5 percent possession, and earned just over five corners per game, conceding fewer than one goal.
Stoke’s performance in their last ten matches shows an average of 1.5 goals scored, 4.2 shots on target, and a possession rate of 55.9 percent, but they have conceded 1.2 goals per game and lost half of those fixtures.
Season Overview
The trends from their head-to-head matchups mirror their overall season performance. Ipswich boasts five wins, two defeats, and three draws in their last ten matches. In contrast, Stoke has an equal number of wins and losses, with their defense allowing more goals than they score. Losing four of their last five outings does not inspire much confidence.
Betting Odds and Predictions
Current odds suggest Ipswich has approximately a 60.6 percent chance of winning, but our assessment places that likelihood closer to 70 percent, making the home win at -154 a valuable wager. For those looking for additional excitement, consider a half-time/full-time double bet on Ipswich to lead at halftime and win by the final whistle.
If you prefer specific scorelines, a 2-0 win for Ipswich is available at around +525, while a narrow 1-0 victory holds the same price. Alternatively, Stoke winning 0-1 pays about +950, and a 2-1 home victory sits at +600.
Player Props and Corner Predictions
On the player prop front, Jaden Philogene to register at least one shot on target is priced at around -147. He has been active in the final third and should find opportunities against Stoke’s shaky defense. Sindre Walle Egeli is another attractive option at +180 to score anytime, having netted in his last two Championship games.
Expect a relatively low number of corners in this match, with the line for under 10.5 corners priced around -137. Ipswich consistently falls below this threshold, and more than half of Stoke’s recent matches have stayed under this number.
For those interested in a same-game multi bet, combining Ipswich to win, under 2.5 goals, and Philogene to have over 0.5 shots on target creates a balanced wager. This combination aligns with Ipswich’s strengths without chasing excessive goals.
Final Thoughts and Odds Summary
Bookmakers generally favor Ipswich at about -167, while the draw is offered at +285 and Stoke at +460. George Hirst leads the first goalscorer market for the home team at +420 and appears capable of breaking the deadlock. Here’s hoping he finds the net; if he scores first, he may even remember that it’s his turn to buy the manager a celebratory pint.
Good luck, and please remember to bet responsibly.