Cruzeiro is set to face off against Botafogo in a crucial match that leans in favor of the home side. If you were considering relying on your grandma’s lucky rabbit’s foot, it might be worth taking a moment to read our analysis instead. We suggest backing Cruzeiro at odds of -102 for a full-time result, and here’s why we feel confident in this pick.
Recent Form
In their last match, Cruzeiro played to a 1-1 draw against Ceará. The team had a solid performance, controlling 58% of possession and making four shots on target, despite an unfortunate own goal from Willian Machado. In contrast, Botafogo also played to a 2-2 draw against Corinthians, managing only 39% possession with just two shots on target. Goals by Cuiabano and Jordan Barrera helped them equalize.
Historical Performance
Historical data supports a favorable outlook for Cruzeiro. They have won the last three meetings against Botafogo, including a convincing 2-0 victory when they were the away side. Over the past nine encounters, Cruzeiro has achieved four wins and five draws, without suffering a single defeat.
### League Statistics
The league performances further highlight Cruzeiro’s consistency. In their last ten matches, they have secured four victories, drawn six times, and averaged 1.4 goals from 5.4 shots on target. They enjoy 52.8% possession and typically win about 6.4 corners per game, while conceding only 0.7 goals from 4.4 on-target shots.
Conversely, Botafogo’s recent record includes four wins, two losses, and four draws. They average 1.5 goals per match from 4.9 shots on target and have 48.1% possession. They also win around 5.3 corners but concede an average of 1.3 goals from 3.9 shots on target.
Key Players
For Cruzeiro, notable contributors include:
- Kaio Jorge: 6 goals
- Keny Arroyo: 2 goals
- Assists: Kaio Jorge, William, and Kaiki each have 2 assists.
For Botafogo, top performers are:
- Artur Guimaraes: 3 goals
- Cuiabano, Jose Barria, and Joaquin Correa: 2 goals each.
- Assist leader: Danilo with 3 assists.
Predicted Lineups
Cruzeiro (4-2-3-1):
Cassio; William, Fabricio Bruno, Lucas Villalba, Kaiki; Lucas Romero, Lucas Silva; Christian Cardoso, Matheus Pereira, Keny Arroyo; Kaio Jorge
Botafogo (4-2-3-1):
Raul Steffens; Vitinho, David Ricardo, Fernando Marcal, Alex Telles; Marlon Freitas, Newton Araujo; Artur, Alvaro Montoro, Cuiabano; Kadir Barría
Betting Insights
We believe Cruzeiro can justify the -102 odds in the match-winner market. Their recent home record is impressive, having achieved 13 wins in the last 20 matches, including six in the past ten. With a historical edge in this fixture, we feel confident in Cruzeiro’s chances. While bookmakers suggest a 50.5% likelihood, our analysis suggests nearer to 60%, which makes this a solid betting option.
For those looking for higher returns, consider exploring the Asian Handicap lines, which offer various attractive options.
Correct Score Predictions
Here are some interesting correct score options:
- 1-0 at +540
- 2-1 at +600
- 2-0 at +650
Player Prop Bet
Consider the following player prop:
- Joaquin Correa to score any time at +500: He has netted twice in his last seven Série A games, making these odds appealing.
Corner Betting Insights
Cruzeiro has recorded over 5.5 corners in three consecutive matches, while Botafogo has conceded that number in their last five away games. Thus, backing Cruzeiro for over 5.5 corners at -111 presents a viable betting option.
### Suggested Bet Builder
A potential bet builder might include:
- Full-time result: Cruzeiro (-102)
- Total goals under 2.5 (-132)
- Cruzeiro corners over 5.5 (-111)
Key Betting Markets Overview
- Full-time Result: Home win +102, Draw +230, Away win +280
- Half-time Result: Home +160, Draw +120, Away +310
- Double Chance: 1X -417, 12 -333, X2 -137
- Draw No Bet: Home -233, Away +160
- Asian Handicap: Home -0.5 at -100, Away +0.5 at -125
- Total Goals: Under 2.5 at -132, Over 2.5 at +102
- Both Teams to Score: Yes -130, No -109
First Goalscorer
In the first-goalscorer market, Kaio Jorge leads the odds at +290.
Final Note
Remember to gamble responsibly, and ensure you are 18+. Odds are correct at the time of writing and may be subject to change. Even if the match does not go as planned for your bets, you’ll still have a wealth of statistics to impress—or bore—your friends at the pub.