Arsenal will host Brentford at the Emirates Stadium, offering the Gunners a chance to extend their lead at the top of the table. While Arsenal has been consistently strong on their home turf, Brentford faces challenges when playing away. If Arsenal can score more goals than your typical weekend curry intake, they might very well secure a victory by a couple of goals. This leads us to our first betting angle.
Betting Angle: Asian Handicap – Arsenal to Cover -1.5
Backing Arsenal on the Asian Handicap at -1.5 requires them to win by at least two clear goals. With odds around -102, this suggests nearly a 50/50 chance of success. However, our research indicates the probability is closer to 60 percent. Arsenal has managed to cover the -1.5 line in three of their last five home matches, and with Mikel Arteta at the helm, they appear capable of doing it again.
Recent Meetings and Home/Away Form
- In their last nine matches, Arsenal has won six times, drawn twice, and lost only once. However, their most recent encounter at the Emirates ended in a 1-1 draw.
- Arsenal’s last ten home league games show nine wins and one draw, averaging 2.7 goals scored and just 0.3 goals conceded per game.
- Brentford’s last ten away matches resulted in three wins, two draws, and five losses, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per game.
Season Trends
Arsenal (Last Ten League Games)
- Wins: 7, Draws: 3
- Goals per Game: 1.9 from 5.5 shots on target
- Possession: 61.3%
- Key Players: Mikel Merino, Eberechi Eze, and Leandro Trossard
Brentford (Last Ten League Games)
- Wins: 5, Draws: 1, Losses: 4
- Goals per Game: 1.8 from 11.5 attempts
- Possession: 44.8%
- Key Player: Igor Thiago with nine goals this season
Predicted Lineups (4-2-3-1)
Arsenal:
- Goalkeeper: Raya
- Defenders: Timber, Mosquera, Hincapie, Calafiori
- Midfielders: Zubimendi, Rice
- Forwards: Saka, Eze, Martinelli, Merino
Brentford:
- Goalkeeper: Kelleher
- Defenders: Kayode, Collins, van den Berg, Hickey
- Midfielders: Henderson, Jensen
- Forwards: Damsgaard, Schade, Ouattara, Thiago
Correct Score Prediction
A 3-0 victory for Arsenal looks promising, priced at approximately +650. If you prefer a safer option, a 2-0 win is available at around +480.
Player Props to Consider
- Eberechi Eze Over 0.5 Shots On Target (-170): Eze has hit the target in each of his last four home games.
- Bukayo Saka Anytime Goalscorer (+110): Saka is in great form and a solid bet to score again.
Corners Angle
- Brentford Over 2.5 Team Corners (-128): The Bees have recorded at least three corners in each of their last ten matches, and there is no indication this trend will change.
Bet Builder Tip
Combine Arsenal -1.5, Over 2.5 total goals, and Brentford over 2.5 corners for a well-rounded same-game multi.
Other Odds in Brief
- Arsenal to win: Approximately -278 (implied probability 74%)
- Brentford: +800
- Half-Time: Arsenal -120, Draw +150, Brentford +600
- Over 2.5 Goals: Lowest total goals market
- Both Teams to Score No: About -147
If you believe Arsenal will dominate their visitors, these betting options offer a comprehensive strategy for approaching the market. With the right bets, you may celebrate more than just finding extra cheese on your pizza.